Derivation and Validation of a Model to Predict 30-Day Readmission in Surgical Patients Discharged to Skilled Nursing Facility

ObjectivesTo identify factors associated with 30-day all-cause readmission rates in surgical patients discharged to skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), and derive and validate a risk score.DesignRetrospective cohort.Setting and participantsPatients admitted to 1 tertiary hospital's surgical services between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2014 and subsequently discharged to 110 SNFs within a 25-mile radius of the hospital. The first 2 years were used for the derivation set and the last 2 for validation.MethodsData were collected on 30-day all cause readmissions, patient demographics, procedure and surgical service, comorbidities, laboratory tests, and prior health care utilization. Multivariate regression was used to identify risk factors for readmission.ResultsDuring the study period, 2405 surgical patients were discharged to 110 SNFs, and 519 (21.6%) of these patients experienced readmission within 30 days. In a multivariable regression model, hospital length of stay [odds ratio (OR) per day: 1.03, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.04], number of hospitalizations in past year (OR 1.24 per hospitalization, 95% CI 1.18-1.31), nonelective surgery (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.18-1.65), low-risk service (orthopedic/spine service) (OR 0.32, 95% CI 0.25-0.42), and intermediate-risk service (cardiothoracic surgery/urology/gynecology/ear, nose, throat) (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.53-0.88) were associated with all-cause readmissions. The model had a C index of 0.71 in the validation set. Using the following risk score [0.8 × (hospital length of stay) + 7 × (number of hospitalizations in past year) +10 for nonelective surgery, +36 for high-risk surgery, and +20 for intermediate-risk surgery], a score of >40 identified patients at high risk of 30-day readmission (35.8% vs 12.6%, P < .001).Conclusions/ImplicationsAmong surgical patients discharged to an SNF, a simple risk score with 4 parameters can accurately predict the risk of 30-day readmission.     

高龄产妇妊娠分娩结局的临床现状研究

介绍高龄产妇妊娠分娩结局的临床现状研究，探讨其可研究的方向。本文通过横向比较多篇研究高龄产妇妊娠分娩结局的文献进行综述。近年来，高龄产妇数量不断增加，并已成为全球的趋势。高龄产妇不良妊娠分娩结局较多，包括妊娠高血压、妊娠糖尿病、胎盘早剥、围产期死亡、早产、胎儿巨体症和胎儿生长受限等；与产妇高龄无关的妊娠分娩结局有冠心病、子女的长期发病率等；医学界普遍鼓励妇女早育。     

The risk of fractures,acute myocardial infarction,atrial fibrillation and ventricular arrhythmia in geriatric patients exposed to promethazine

ABSTRACT

Objectives: This study aimed to compare the risk of fractures, acute myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, and ventricular arrhythmia among Danish citizens aged ≥ 65 which were new users of promethazine or domperidone, triazolam, loratadine, and betahistine. Secondly, the study aimed to perform a risk stratification to identify the most relevant predictors for the study outcomes.

Methods: The study period was 01/01/2015 to 31/12/2016. The data sources were the Danish registers. Each patient was followed for 90 days. A logistic regression model was used to compute the unadjusted and adjusted odds ratios (OR), and a conditional inference tree was used to identify the most relevant predictors for the study outcomes.

Results: Promethazine had a higher risk of hospitalization for atrial fibrillation than loratadine and betahistine (OR 1.58; 95% CI 1.07–2.63 and OR 3.22; 95% CI 1.69–7.14, respectively). For fractures, acute myocardial infarction, and ventricular arrhythmia hospitalizations, no statistically significant differences were found among drugs under investigation. The medical history of cardiac arrhythmia (OR 4.14; 95% CI 2.94–5.78, p < 0.0001) was the most relevant predictor for atrial fibrillation hospitalizations.

Conclusion: This study found an increased risk of atrial fibrillation hospitalization among promethazine users, and the risk was higher among patients with prior cardiac arrhythmia.     

反复粪便培养金黄色葡萄球菌阳性老年患者口服万古霉素效果评价

目的 通过探讨肠道非急性感染期反复粪便培养金黄色葡萄球菌阳性的老年患者口服万古霉素的效果，为此类患者提供一种潜在的治疗方案。方法 前瞻性分析吉林大学第一医院干部病房2015 年9 月～2018 年12 月收治的186 例肠道非急性感染期反复粪便培养金黄色葡萄球菌阳性的老年患者。根据是否口服万古霉素治疗分为万古组和对照组。收集两组患者的一般临床资料，比较两组患者试验前后万古霉素血药浓度、血常规、降钙素原（PCT）、C 反应蛋白（CRP），试验期间粪便培养结果、体温、抗生素使用情况。结果 试验治疗期间，万古组便培养转阴率高于对照组，差异有统计学意义（P＜0.05）；万古组发热率（29.75%）低于对照组的34.77%，差异有高度统计学意义（P＜0.01）；万古组抗生素使用率（4.49%）低于对照组的19.23%，差异有高度统计学意义（P＜0.01）。试验前两组白细胞、中性粒细胞计数、中性粒细胞比例、PCT、CRP 比较，差异无统计学意义（P＞0.05）；试验后万古组白细胞、中性粒细胞计数、中性粒细胞比例、CRP 低于对照组，差异有高度统计学意义（P＜0.01）。试验后万古组白细胞、中性粒细胞计数、中性粒细胞比例、CRP 低于试验前，差异有高度统计学意义（P＜0.01）。结论 口服万古霉素可能提高肠道非急性感染期反复粪便培养金黄色葡萄球菌阳性的老年患者粪便转阴率，减少发热及抗生素的应用，降低炎症细胞水平，可能是此类患者一种潜在的临床治疗方案。     

耳穴贴压联合涌泉穴按摩对老年原发性高血压患者血压变异性的影响

目的:探讨耳穴贴压联合涌泉穴按摩治疗老年原发性高血压的效果及对患者血压变异性(BPV)的影响。方法:将94例老年原发性高血压患者随机分为对照组(n=47)和观察组(n=47)。常规西医治疗基础上,观察组给予王不留行籽耳穴贴压联合涌泉穴按摩治疗。比较两组治疗前后收缩压(SBP)、舒张压(DBP)水平、SBP/DBP下降幅度并评估降压疗效,BPV根据24 h动态血压监测结果评估,计算两组治疗前后24h SBP标准差(24h SBP)、24h DBP标准差(24h DBP)、白天SBP标准差(dSSD)、白天DBP标准差(dDSD)、夜间SBP标准差(nSSD)和夜间DBP标准差(nDSD),记录两组治疗期间不良反应情况。结果:观察组治疗后SBP、DBP水平和下降幅度均优于对照组(P<0.05); 观察组降压总有效率97.87%明显高于对照组82.98%,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05); 对照组治疗后24h SBP、24h DSD、dSSD、dDSD较治疗前有明显下降(P<0.05),观察组治疗后24h SBP、24h DSD、dSSD、dDSD、nSSD显著低于治疗前(P<0.05),观察组治疗后24h SBP、24h DSD、dSSD均显著低于对照组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05); 两组不良反应以头晕、头痛、恶心和眩晕为主,症状程度均较轻,患者耐受性好,组间不良反应率比较差异均无统计学意义(P<0.05)。结论:常规西医治疗基础上给予中医耳穴贴压联合涌泉穴按摩,不仅能有效降低老年原发性高血压患者血压水平和增益降压疗效,而且能显著降低BPV。     

高龄直肠癌患者腹会阴联合切除术后会阴切口并发症发生的相关危险因素

探讨高龄直肠癌患者腹会阴联合切除术(APR)后会阴切口并发症发生的相关危险因素。方法采用回顾性病例对照研究的方法,分析中国医学科学院肿瘤医院结直肠外科2007年1月至2018年9月行APR的72例高龄(≥80岁)直肠癌患者的临床病理资料。采用单因素和多因素分析确定影响高龄直肠癌患者APR后会阴切口并发症发生的危险因素。结果72例患者中,男47例,女25例,年龄为(81.8±1.8)岁。术后会阴切口并发症发生率为23.6%(17/72),其中切口感染5例,切口脂肪液化4例,切口延迟愈合8例。所有患者均顺利出院,无围手术期死亡病例。单因素分析显示,术前血清白蛋白<35 g/L、术中置入氟尿嘧啶缓释剂/洛铂冲洗液、盆底修复、糖尿病和冠心病与高龄患者APR术后会阴切口并发症的发生均有关(均P<0.05)。多因素分析显示,未行盆底修复(OR=0.17,95%CI为0.04~0.82;P=0.027)和糖尿病(OR=4.32,95%CI为1.05~17.81;P=0.043)为高龄直肠癌患者APR后会阴切口发生的独立危险因素。结论行APR的高龄直肠癌患者应尽可能保留盆底腹膜,并予以关闭。围手术期血糖监测也是预防会阴切口并发症发生的有力保障。     

新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情期间肿瘤患者的健康教育管理

2019年12月，新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情在湖北武汉发生，并迅速向全国蔓延。新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情发生后，打破了很多患者原有的治疗计划，患者健康教育也受到了较大影响。在这样的特殊形势下，应提倡减少外出、避免人群聚集，缩短患者在院停留时间，因此如何做好肿瘤患者的健康教育成为了一个紧迫的问题。针对新型冠状病毒肺炎对肿瘤患者的影响，肿瘤患者健康教育的需求及重要性，疫情期间如何针对肿瘤患者采取更加合理的方式做好健康教育等问题，本文进行了简要的阐述。希望能够引发肿瘤健康教育工作者对新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情下如何实施肿瘤患者健康教育的思考，最大程度上降低疫情带来的不良影响，保证肿瘤患者健康教育的科学性、连贯性。     

Outcome of Childhood Acute Myeloid Leukemia With FLT3-ITD Mutation: The Experience of Children’s Cancer Hospital Egypt, 2007-17

IntroductionThe presence of FMS-like tyrosine kinase 3 (FLT3) internal tandem duplication (ITD) mutation in pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is associated with high rates of induction failure and worse survival. Its presence places the patient into a high-risk group. We aimed to describe the outcome of pediatric AML with FLT3-ITD mutation.Patients and MethodsWe performed a retrospective analysis of cases of AML from July 2007 till July 2017 at Children’s Cancer Hospital Egypt.ResultsSeventy-one patients had FLT3 gene mutation out of 687 patients with AML. Sixty-five patients had FLT3 gene mutation with allelic ratio > 0.4; 43 (66.1%) of 65 patients experienced complete remission (CR). Of the 43 patients, 16 patients maintained CR, 18 patients relapsed after first CR, 8 patients died, and 1 patient was lost to follow-up. Patients with relapsing disease died after salvage chemotherapy, except for one patient, who was alive after second CR. Allogeneic bone marrow transplantation (allo-BMT) was performed for 9 (13.8%) of 65 patients in first CR, of whom 8 were alive and in CR, and 1 patient experienced disease relapse and died. Seven patients (10.7%) were alive without allo-BMT. Three years’ overall and event-free survival for patients with FLT3-ITD mutation with high allelic ratio was 26.9% and 22.8%, respectively. Three years’ overall and event-free survival for patients treated with allo-BMT was 77.8% and 78.8%, respectively, versus patients treated without allo-BMT, 16.3% and 12.8%, respectively.ConclusionFLT3-ITD mutation in pediatric AML was associated with poor treatment outcomes, and the survival of relapsing patients was extremely poor. Allo-BMT in first remission was the best treatment option. Alternative donor transplants and FLT3 inhibitors are needed to improve outcome in developing countries.     

B cell and B cell-related pathways for novel cancer treatments

B cells are recognized as the main effector cells of humoral immunity which suppress tumor progression by secreting immunoglobulins, promoting T cell response, and killing cancer cells directly. Given these properties, their anti-tumor immune response in the tumor micro-environment (TME) is of great interest. Although T cell-related immune responses have become a therapeutic target with the introduction of immune checkpoint inhibitors, not all patients benefit from these treatments. B cell and B cell-related pathways (CCL19, −21/CCR7 axis and CXCL13/CXCR5 axis) play key roles in activating immune response through humoral immunity and local immune activation via tertiary lymphoid structure (TLS) formation. However they have some protumorigenic works in the TME. Thus, a better understanding of B cell and B cell-related pathways is necessary to develop effective cancer control. In this review, we summarize recent evidences regarding the roles of B cell and B cell-related pathways in the TME and immune response and discuss their potential roles for novel cancer treatment strategies.     

Determinants of Tobacco Use among Children of a Rural Village in India: An Exploratory Qualitative Study

Background: Tobacco is one of the leading causes of preventable deaths. It is both a major social and health problem. According to National Sample Survey Organization of Government of India about 20 million children of ages 10-14 are estimated to be tobacco-addicted. There are grave consequences of tobacco both socially and also on health thus it is of utmost importance to understand the factors leading to its use and to plan strategies to reduce its intake. However, the health implications of this social issue in a rural context have not been explored. Aims and Objective: this study makes an attempt to explore the health and social implications of tobacco usage by the children below the age of 14 years in hamlet. Materials and Methods:  The present study employed a qualitative study design. Data was collected using focus group discussion and in-depth interview of key informants. Thematic analysis for exploring the explicit and implicit meanings within the data was done. The themes which emerged were knowledge about tobacco and the various products available, children and parents’ tobacco use and habits, the health and social implication of tobacco use, reasons for tobacco use by the children. Results: It was found tobacco use by the children was very common in the community. Parent, peer pressure, sibling pressure were found to be playing important role in the initiation of tobacco habit by the child. Further illiteracy and lack of awareness was also lead to tobacco use among children. Conclusion: The study identifies education and awareness of parents about the ill-effects of tobacco play an important role as parents act as role model for their children, thus equal stress should be laid in improving the parental habits. Even raising the prices of tobacco products can help in controlling this habit.